A simple ocean-based model predicts a powerful El Niño for late 2026, with temperatures projected to be over 2°C above normal. By using only sea level and surface temperature data, the "Wyrtki-CSLIM" system achieves 15-month forecast accuracy comparable to complex AI and dynamical models.

A simple ocean-based model predicts a powerful El Niño for late 2026, with temperatures projected to be over 2°C above normal. By using only sea level and surface temperature data, the "Wyrtki-CSLIM" system achieves 15-month forecast accuracy comparable to complex AI and dynamical models.